03 October 2016

Is Havana Don among the 47%?

It's interesting that the argument advanced by the Trump campaign to defend the fact that he has not paid federal income taxes for the past twenty years is that he's paid "property taxes, sales and excise taxes, real estate taxes, city taxes, state taxes, employee taxes and federal taxes," given that the position of his party for the last several years has been that federal income taxes are the only taxes that matter when discussing an individual's social responsibility. This was at the heart of Mitt Romney's argument that 47% of American voters were leeches and layabouts. Like many aspects of the Trump candidacy, it will be interesting to see if this shift in policy will persist.

22 August 2016

Failure due to logrolling

If we've learned anything from the news of Aetna's retaliatory withdrawal from the healthcare markets, it's that allowing these firms to remain in business in 2010 was a huge mistake.

http://www.vox.com/2016/8/18/12520820/public-option-health-care-obamacare

22 June 2016

The shortsighted narcissism of "Never Hillary"

Over the last few weeks, as it's become increasingly clear that Bernie Sanders will not become the Democratic nominee for president this summer, progressives and social democrats (among which your correspondent is included) have split among those willing to settle for the centrist Hillary Clinton, and those who (at least for now) proclaim that they cannot or simply will not support her in the general election this fall against Donald Trump. This has, predictably, led to much more internal consternation on the Democratic side than most would have expected a year ago, when Secretary Clinton's nomination seemed both inevitable and broadly supported both by her party and by those who, while nominally unaffiliated, tend to vote Democratic. 

For those unaffiliated progressives who have chosen to settle (or, "fall in line," if you will), the intransigence of the "Never Hillary" types has been maddening. Perhaps one reason for that is embedded in the argument, often heard from those unable or unwilling to make a "lesser of two evils" compromise, that Trump will be so disastrous as president that the entire edifice will crumble, causing a political realignment at the national level that will lead to an environment more friendly to progressive policies. 

It's hard to imagine this likely. Given Mr Trump's history (and self-styled reputation) as a huckster and horse-trader, the notion of a President Trump as equally antagonistic to Congressional Republicans as he would likely be to Congressional Democrats is preposterous. If, as is likely, Republicans retain control of both the House and the Senate, Mr Trump will almost certainly engage in a series of his farcical "deals" with House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. The end result of this would likely be that he governs as a mostly bog-standard Republican, with all that would mean for already marginalized groups. 

If this sits well with disillusioned progressives and frustrated social democrats, then they should surely vote for Mr Trump, or at least sit this one out, especially if they are fortunate enough to have little to lose under a Trump regime. They must remember, however, that doing the former (and perhaps even the latter) would make them ill suited to progressivism and social democracy indeed.